Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 4.916772 5.320899 5.759105 6.272519 6.861398 7.520411 8.320393
2025-06-22 4.145123 4.672244 5.282877 6.053258 7.015276 8.199928 9.807717
2025-06-29 3.692212 4.270473 4.969616 5.896872 7.126756 8.753996 11.169806
2025-07-06 3.378288 3.982266 4.736199 5.775360 7.221635 9.253243 12.518065
2025-07-13 3.167515 3.794408 4.598690 5.745423 7.412602 9.890382 14.198077
2025-07-20 3.046102 3.705954 4.575406 5.857565 7.806894 10.883263 16.726480
2025-07-27 2.954597 3.646164 4.580247 6.002508 8.261395 12.050458 19.968339
2025-08-03 2.834502 3.536682 4.503605 6.013836 8.499522 12.889908 22.885666
2025-08-10 2.698109 3.394629 4.367969 5.918428 8.543130 13.377712 25.222959
2025-08-17 2.554321 3.233415 4.192762 5.743547 8.425426 13.529025 26.800373
2025-08-24 2.445638 3.116018 4.074104 5.647607 8.433115 13.930955 29.256144
2025-08-31 2.390529 3.072144 4.061468 5.721422 8.755840 15.061868 34.562577
2025-09-07 2.338990 3.034046 4.060019 5.822693 9.163952 16.539895 42.545394
2025-09-14 2.217052 2.886752 3.882102 5.608915 8.932301 16.461941 44.652011
2025-09-21 2.121208 2.774059 3.752132 5.468429 8.831438 16.693000 48.434330
2025-09-28 2.040027 2.679619 3.645547 5.360245 8.782609 17.049346 53.323209
2025-10-05 1.982122 2.617744 3.587301 5.333592 8.901623 17.895765 62.194566
2025-10-12 1.954001 2.599763 3.598329 5.433340 9.308469 19.702819 81.326225
2025-10-19 1.932938 2.591379 3.624038 5.562083 9.802198 21.993219 113.638681
2025-10-26 1.890975 2.548360 3.589436 5.572136 10.020271 23.481259 147.311503
2025-11-02 1.834622 2.480457 3.509479 5.487426 9.996657 24.108788 174.693356
2025-11-09 1.768976 2.395683 3.397351 5.331921 9.779187 23.946631 188.452479
2025-11-16 1.718868 2.334137 3.322548 5.246480 9.730552 24.446249 223.510016